TOKYO (Reuters) – Japan’s economy shrank at the fastest pace in almost six years in the December quarter as last year’s sales tax hike hit consumer and business spending, highlighting a fragile outlook made worse by growing coronavirus risks.
Because very few national polls were released after Iowa, we’ve been eagerly awaiting Monmouth University’s latest national poll even as ballots are cast in New Hampshire. That data has now been incorporated into the model, and with just a few hours until the first polling places close, we’ve frozen the forecast — candidates’ odds won’t update and no new information will be added until after New Hampshire results are available.
The Democratic primary is in a confusing state at the moment. And our forecast model is a little confused, also. It’s making a couple of assumptions about how the polls may react to New Hampshire that may not be entirely right. The model is also limited by the lack of polling in states that vote after New Hampshire, most notably Nevada and South Carolina. So we’d encourage you to take the model with a large grain of salt until some of that post-New Hampshire polling comes in.
It’s not often that a third-place finish grabs more headlines than first place, but there’s nothing the media loves more than an underdog, and they got one in spades with Sen. Amy Klobuchar on Tuesday night.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – U.S. Democratic presidential candidates said on Sunday billionaire Michael Bloomberg should face the same rigorous scrutiny as his rivals and they would welcome the chance to square off with him in a 2020 presidential debate.
Sector rotation in the S&P 500 suggests that investors are once again moving into the riskier parts of the equity market. But it isn’t just equity markets that are seeing a bounce: essential global growth commodities such as copper and oil appear to be stabilizing and even creating technical reversal patterns, suggesting they may begin to increase in price. As investors start to move back into risk assets, one would think that yields on the 10-year Treasury would start to rise once again.
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.
Every four years, the media descends on New Hampshire to cover the state’s primary. Who are these New Hampshire voters that the media cares so much about — and who can have such a big effect on which candidate ultimately wins the nomination?
With impeachment behind him, the president’s advisers say there is little incentive for him to hold his fire — with more moves to come.